Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.043247 0.047090 0.050981 0.055210 0.059669 0.064224 0.069223
2025-07-20 0.036770 0.042359 0.048225 0.054815 0.061986 0.069528 0.078036
2025-07-27 0.032504 0.039373 0.046812 0.055409 0.065011 0.075350 0.087265
2025-08-03 0.029531 0.037423 0.046212 0.056618 0.068497 0.081535 0.096828
2025-08-10 0.025222 0.033532 0.043058 0.054621 0.068113 0.083201 0.101197
2025-08-17 0.022413 0.031129 0.041386 0.054109 0.069235 0.086422 0.107207
2025-08-24 0.020003 0.028990 0.039836 0.053568 0.070176 0.089323 0.112766
2025-08-31 0.018938 0.028423 0.040104 0.055134 0.073561 0.095040 0.121591
2025-09-07 0.017771 0.027619 0.039993 0.056169 0.076257 0.099919 0.129430
2025-09-14 0.016571 0.026672 0.039620 0.056809 0.078423 0.104138 0.136478
2025-09-21 0.015287 0.025516 0.038896 0.056936 0.079902 0.107495 0.142482
2025-09-28 0.014671 0.025227 0.039268 0.058434 0.083072 0.112903 0.150969
2025-10-05 0.013286 0.023790 0.038075 0.057896 0.083704 0.115263 0.155862
2025-10-12 0.012257 0.022794 0.037422 0.058023 0.085154 0.118625 0.161994
2025-10-19 0.011571 0.022256 0.037360 0.058906 0.087559 0.123174 0.169599
2025-10-26 0.011103 0.022012 0.037685 0.060295 0.090621 0.128559 0.178266
2025-11-02 0.009640 0.020113 0.035566 0.058275 0.089152 0.128179 0.179734
2025-11-09 0.008745 0.019047 0.034587 0.057770 0.089639 0.130250 0.184245
2025-11-16 0.007916 0.018020 0.033611 0.057219 0.090026 0.132167 0.188548
2025-11-23 0.007710 0.018035 0.034186 0.058864 0.093378 0.137921 0.197735
2025-11-30 0.007379 0.017808 0.034377 0.059948 0.095969 0.142699 0.205705
2025-12-07 0.006973 0.017417 0.034292 0.060619 0.097989 0.146737 0.212745
2025-12-14 0.006476 0.016819 0.033854 0.060752 0.099255 0.149784 0.218522